Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.064293 0.069465 0.074688 0.080349 0.086303 0.092373 0.099021
2025-05-18 0.053511 0.060885 0.068590 0.077214 0.086570 0.096386 0.107437
2025-05-25 0.046794 0.055751 0.065396 0.076493 0.088847 0.102115 0.117383
2025-06-01 0.041511 0.051597 0.062760 0.075922 0.090904 0.107320 0.126560
2025-06-08 0.038872 0.050105 0.062831 0.078142 0.095892 0.115655 0.139155
2025-06-15 0.036221 0.048323 0.062335 0.079511 0.099756 0.122621 0.150160
2025-06-22 0.033678 0.046439 0.061522 0.080337 0.102852 0.128616 0.160003
2025-06-29 0.031094 0.044296 0.060220 0.080421 0.104945 0.133352 0.168333
2025-07-06 0.029857 0.043728 0.060745 0.082635 0.109526 0.140985 0.180057
2025-07-13 0.027448 0.041495 0.059062 0.082015 0.110584 0.144369 0.186723
2025-07-20 0.025653 0.039941 0.058130 0.082234 0.112590 0.148836 0.194651
2025-07-27 0.024454 0.039097 0.058037 0.083453 0.115790 0.154725 0.204288
2025-08-03 0.023733 0.038898 0.058803 0.085821 0.120518 0.162610 0.216531
2025-08-10 0.021064 0.035840 0.055665 0.083032 0.118658 0.162349 0.218830
2025-08-17 0.019457 0.034186 0.054321 0.082511 0.119623 0.165543 0.225346
2025-08-24 0.017993 0.032646 0.053054 0.082022 0.120575 0.168687 0.231788
2025-08-31 0.017603 0.032676 0.053943 0.084421 0.125288 0.176588 0.244192
2025-09-07 0.016944 0.032253 0.054164 0.085893 0.128782 0.182958 0.254716
2025-09-14 0.016149 0.031571 0.053977 0.086778 0.131486 0.188323 0.264000
2025-09-21 0.015174 0.030547 0.053249 0.086873 0.133110 0.192294 0.271529
2025-09-28 0.014905 0.030634 0.054129 0.089212 0.137753 0.200176 0.284064
2025-10-05 0.013828 0.029340 0.052919 0.088560 0.138326 0.202771 0.289859
2025-10-12 0.013059 0.028507 0.052355 0.088792 0.140077 0.206887 0.297604